Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.208654 3.577578 3.977298 4.443466 4.973327 5.558148 6.254272
2025-02-16 2.654403 3.147136 3.719882 4.438335 5.320347 6.374024 7.737346
2025-02-23 2.319415 2.878006 3.562299 4.469522 5.651537 7.154192 9.232811
2025-03-02 2.018733 2.595075 3.330699 4.349685 5.742223 7.604369 10.326569
2025-03-09 1.813038 2.401754 3.179985 4.299578 5.894684 8.125128 11.550962
2025-03-16 1.644912 2.236563 3.042934 4.242266 6.015334 8.595926 12.741450
2025-03-23 1.571709 2.191798 3.062482 4.400557 6.452664 9.561658 14.788394
2025-03-30 1.461718 2.082852 2.977522 4.391828 6.631153 10.145361 16.296554
2025-04-06 1.358848 1.974382 2.881720 4.353514 6.753269 10.644251 17.717266
2025-04-13 1.221765 1.803478 2.677235 4.124768 6.542690 10.570741 18.128128
2025-04-20 1.156229 1.736473 2.626171 4.134789 6.723194 11.167647 19.808591
2025-04-27 1.114155 1.702331 2.622960 4.220952 7.038075 12.026684 22.087476
2025-05-04 1.067323 1.658707 2.603424 4.281852 7.322305 12.876594 24.504333
2025-05-11 1.021062 1.612670 2.576318 4.327079 7.582958 13.713723 27.027809
2025-05-18 0.977973 1.568537 2.548503 4.367487 7.837053 14.565356 29.712256
2025-05-25 0.912110 1.481411 2.440588 4.252723 7.782596 14.798033 31.076523
2025-06-01 0.863029 1.419667 2.372118 4.204275 7.850837 15.284085 33.083112
2025-06-08 0.816890 1.360027 2.303073 4.148490 7.897784 15.728731 35.059936
2025-06-15 0.805419 1.360623 2.341916 4.302783 8.388551 17.182854 39.732173
2025-06-22 0.771509 1.318748 2.299963 4.294278 8.536344 17.895587 42.660735
2025-06-29 0.736171 1.272115 2.245977 4.256938 8.617812 18.465737 45.313779
2025-07-06 0.679370 1.182839 2.106191 4.033975 8.271246 17.997624 45.079446
2025-07-13 0.655591 1.153809 2.079725 4.043744 8.445564 18.791965 48.501129